Early Arterial Thrombosis May Signal Future Cancer Risk

May 20, 2025
Dr. Tiziano Barbui

Barbui is a professor of hematology and founder of the department of hematology at Bergamo Hospital. He is currently the scientific director of clinical research foundation at Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital, Bergamo, Italy.

Arterial thrombosis may occur years before cancer diagnosis, suggesting it could be a risk factor, according to Dr. Tiziano Barbui.

Arterial thrombosis events like strokes or heart attacks may occur five to seven years before a cancer diagnosis, raising the possibility that they are not a result of the tumor itself but could instead be a risk factor for developing cancer, explained Dr. Tiziano Barbui.

In an interview with CURE, Barbui said his team observed a higher rate of arterial thrombosis in patients years before they were diagnosed with solid tumors, compared with a control group without cancer. This challenges the commonly understood link between cancer and thrombosis, which typically occurs closer to the time of diagnosis.

In a follow-up study, Barbui and colleagues found that this trend was especially pronounced in younger patients. He suggested that genetic mutations such as JAK2, along with chronic inflammation from conditions like polycythemia, may play a role in both thrombosis and cancer development — particularly in individuals with added risks like smoking or diabetes.

Barbui is a professor of hematology and founder of the department of hematology at Bergamo Hospital. He is currently the scientific director of clinical research foundation at Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital, Bergamo, Italy.

Transcript:

By looking at the patient history before their cancer diagnosis, we noticed that these patients had a higher frequency of arterial thrombosis — including strokes and, sometimes, myocardial infarctions — compared with a control group without cancer. Importantly, these events occurred not near the time of cancer diagnosis, but five to seven years before the tumor developed. That suggests the thrombosis wasn’t caused by the tumor itself.

We already know there's a link between cancer and thrombosis, but usually the thrombosis occurs close to the cancer. In this case, it happened years earlier, leading us to hypothesize that thrombosis might actually be a risk factor for developing solid tumors.

In a second paper, we found that this pattern was even more common in younger patients. One possible reason is exposure to JAK2 mutations and systemic chronic inflammation caused by underlying diseases like polycythemia. These factors not only contribute to the blood disorder but may also promote cancer development — especially in patients with additional risk factors like smoking or diabetes.

This finding has generated a lot of interest, particularly in the U.S. For example, the REVEAL study, which you might have heard of, also documented a similar pattern — though it was published after our work and has yet to release a full paper. That study showed that patients with arterial thrombosis may go on to develop myelofibrosis, a progression of the disease.

Transcript has been edited for clarity and conciseness.

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